We’re gradually building our mock draft database with which to compare trends, but already we can spot some risers and fallers. Obviously, injuries, changes in depth charts, and surprise performances from prospects could change things in a hurry from week-to-week, but for now, we’ll go with the information we have.
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Potential fantasy baseball sleepers
Ketel Marte, SS, SEA (+11.5%): Every year the masses latch onto one guy and shoot his ADP way up beyond where it really should be. With another increase of this magnitude, Marte is coming dangerously close to losing that late-round flier value that we were enjoying just one month ago. Speed from the middle infield is always nice, but we don’t want to get too far ahead of ourselves here. His plate discipline numbers look good and he makes above-average contact, but he’s still relatively unproven so reaching for him isn’t always the best course of action. That’s not to say that he can’t be successful. I’m just saying that you need to remember some of the more recent trendy picks, such as Billy Hamilton or Josh Rutledge. Not only did their popularity push their ADP too high, but then neither also delivered on their expectations.
Byron Buxton, OF MIN (+11.2%): His 203.2 ADP means that folks aren’t pushing too hard to grab him early, which is comforting, but he is still on the rise and we all know how everyone loves to overvalue the rookies. I don’t want to smear the guy’s name, but just keep in mind that a lot – and I mean a lot – of what people are saying about him is exactly what they said about Cameron Maybin. There are enough similarities between the two players that I am seriously hedging my bets.
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